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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

New Mexico

Conference:MWC
Expected RPI:141.0
Current RPI:141
Expected SOS:111
Current Record:17-15
Expected Record:17-15
Current Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:10-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-3
Current OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC RPI:160
Expected OOC SOS:116


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
17-1553.12%141.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for New Mexico.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Texas Southern (190.0)SWACH86-57W100%0.0
11-15New Mexico St. (111.0)WACA74-83W100%0.0
11-18Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCH75-51W100%0.0
11-21USC (51.0)P12A90-82L0%0.0
11-25Nicholls St. (313.0)SlndH75-63W100%0.0
12-1Oral Roberts (148.0)SumH91-75W100%0.0
12-5Purdue (15.0)B10A70-58L0%0.0
12-12Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCH76-57W100%0.0
12-16New Mexico St. (111.0)WACH79-61W100%0.0
12-19Rice (279.0)CUSAH89-90L0%0.0
12-22Auburn (175.0)SECN78-83L0%0.0
12-23BYU (76.0)WCCN96-66L0%0.0
12-25Washington St. (212.0)P12N82-59L0%0.0
12-30Nevada (118.0)MWCH88-76W100%0.0
1-2Fresno St. (66.0)MWCA62-77W100%0.0
1-9Utah St. (151.0)MWCH77-59W100%0.0
1-12UNLV (147.0)MWCA86-74L0%0.0
1-16Wyoming (187.0)MWCH68-70L0%0.0
1-23San Jose St. (301.0)MWCA64-83W100%0.0
1-27Air Force (226.0)MWCH84-55W100%0.0
1-30Boise St. (101.0)MWCA83-88W100%0.0
2-2UNLV (147.0)MWCH87-83W100%0.0
2-6San Diego St. (41.0)MWCA78-71L0%0.0
2-9Utah St. (151.0)MWCA80-72L0%0.0
2-13San Jose St. (301.0)MWCH74-58W100%0.0
2-17Boise St. (101.0)MWCH80-78W100%0.0
2-20Air Force (226.0)MWCA76-72L0%0.0
2-23Colorado St. (181.0)MWCA86-69L0%0.0
2-27Fresno St. (66.0)MWCH82-92L0%0.0
3-1San Diego St. (41.0)MWCH56-83L0%0.0
3-5Nevada (118.0)MWCA66-71W100%0.0
3-10Nevada (118.0)MWCN62-64L0%0.0